1. Identificação | |
Tipo de Referência | ePrint (Electronic Source) |
Site | mtc-m16c.sid.inpe.br |
Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
Identificador | 8JMKD3MGP8W/35GURUB |
Repositório | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2009/06.22.11.57 |
Última Atualização | 2009:06.22.11.57.05 (UTC) administrator |
Repositório de Metadados | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2009/06.22.11.57.02 |
Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2021:02.10.18.39.10 (UTC) administrator |
Chave de Citação | CoelhoGodd:2009:ElNiTr |
Título | El Niño-induced tropical droughts in climate change projections |
Ano | 2009 |
Data da Última Atualização | 2009-06-23 |
Data de Acesso | 18 maio 2024 |
Tipo de Suporte | On-line |
Tipo Secundário | PRE PI |
Número de Arquivos | 1 |
Tamanho | 13908 KiB |
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2. Contextualização | |
Autor | 1 Coelho, Caio Augusto dos Santos 2 Goddard, Lisa |
Grupo | 1 CPT-CPT-INPE-MCT-BR |
Afiliação | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), The Earth Institute at Columbia University |
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor | 1 caio@cptec.inpe.br |
Publicação Alternativa | Journal of Climate |
Produtor | Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais |
Cidade | São José dos Campos |
Estágio da Publicação Alternativa | published |
Avanço | ePrint update |
Histórico (UTC) | 2009-06-22 12:01:25 :: deicy.farabello -> administrator :: 2009-08-04 13:43:50 :: administrator -> deicy.farabello :: 2010-01-26 18:06:29 :: deicy.farabello -> banon :: 2010-01-26 18:16:15 :: banon -> administrator :: 2021-02-10 18:39:10 :: administrator -> simone :: 2009 |
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3. Conteúdo e estrutura | |
É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz |
Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido |
Transferível | 1 |
Palavras-Chave | el-nino tropical droughts climate change |
Resumo | El Niño brings widespread drought (i.e. precipitation deficit) to the tropics. Stronger or more frequent El Niño events in the future and/or their intersection with local changes in the mean climate towards a future with reduced precipitation would exacerbate drought risk in highly vulnerable tropical areas. Projected changes in El Niño characteristics and associated teleconnections are investigated between the 20th and 21st centuries. For climate change models that reproduce realistic oceanic variability of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, results suggest no robust changes in the strength or frequency of El Niño events. These models exhibit realistic patterns, magnitude, and spatial extent of El Niño-induced drought patterns in the 20th century, and the teleconnections are not projected to change in the 21st century; although a possible slight reduction in the spatial extent of droughts is indicated over the tropics as a whole. All model groups investigated show similar changes in mean precipitation for the end of the 21st century, with increased precipitation projected between 10oS and 10oN, independent of the ability of the models to replicate ENSO variability. These results suggest separability between climate change and ENSO-like climate variability in the tropics. As El Niño induced precipitation drought patterns are not projected to change, the observed 20th century variability is used in combination with model projected changes in mean precipitation for assessing year-to-year drought risk in the 21st century. Results suggest more locally consistent changes in regional drought risk among models with good fidelity in reproducing ENSO variability. |
Área | MET |
Arranjo | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > CGCPT > El Niño-induced tropical... |
Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar |
Conteúdo da Pasta source | não têm arquivos |
Conteúdo da Pasta agreement | não têm arquivos |
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4. Condições de acesso e uso | |
URL dos dados | http://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP8W/35GURUB |
URL dos dados zipados | http://urlib.net/zip/8JMKD3MGP8W/35GURUB |
Idioma | en |
Arquivo Alvo | v1.pdf |
Grupo de Usuários | administrator deicy.farabello administrator banon |
Visibilidade | shown |
Permissão de Atualização | não transferida |
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5. Fontes relacionadas | |
Edição Posterior | dpi.inpe.br/plutao@80/2009/12.22.14.33 |
Repositório Espelho | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/03.17.15.17.24 |
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3EUPEJL |
Acervo Hospedeiro | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/03.17.15.17 |
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6. Notas | |
Campos Vazios | accessyear archivingpolicy archivist contenttype copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination doi e-mailaddress edition format isbn issn label lineage mark notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit project readergroup readpermission resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url versiontype |
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7. Controle da descrição | |
e-Mail (login) | simone |
atualizar | |
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